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HomeFootball NewsBen Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 9/25/23


2:00
Ben Clemens: Hey everybody, welcome to the chat. Let’s get going, as a result of I’m going to have to move out at midday to get a couple of issues carried out
2:01
Ben Clemens: I’m engaged on an up to date Apple TV odds article that ought to be going up quickly, however it’s a number of charting and stuff so I’m fairly crunched for time as we speak
2:01
JB: Do you assume PED suspensions have to be raised if star gamers like Tatis, Grandal, Nelson Cruz are nonetheless getting suspended for PEDS?
2:01
Ben Clemens: Hm, I don’t assume so, I believe ‘uncommon however not by no means’ is a extremely good frequency for these suspensions
2:01
Tom Waits: These aren’t inquiries to which I anticipate a solution, they’re a howl of anguish into the pitiless void.What can we do in San Diego? Hope Seidler’s pockets really are bottomless? How is a crew with THAT payroll so woefully skinny?
2:01
Ben Clemens: Quite a lot of it has to do with the crew prioritizing buying and selling depth in seemingly each deal for the final 5 years
2:01
Ben Clemens: six random dudes for Austin Nola? carried out
2:01
Ben Clemens: that kinda factor
2:02
Ben Clemens: however yeah, I believe you hope that everybody stays wholesome and that Seidler desires to maintain going, which appears very affordable (extra affordable than the well being for certain)
2:02
Idiotic Failson: As I keep in mind issues the Yankees tried Michael King within the rotation after buying him many moons in the past, a run that didn’t work out. Now that he’s getting one other shot within the rotation there appears to be unreasonable hope that he’s now a official rotation weapon. Is that this experiment destined for failure too, and if not why not?
2:02
Ben Clemens: I’ll defer to Esteban Rivera on this one
2:02
Justin: Any ideas on DJ Stewart? I’m curious if you happen to assume he’s a legitimately productive batter transferring ahead. Thanks!
2:02
Ben Clemens: I’m not likely a believer, let’s simply say
2:03
Rob: Is Hunter Brown a bust?
2:03
Ben Clemens: I imply, that is still to be seen
2:03
Ben Clemens: however, I don’t assume so and I don’t assume it’s that shut
2:03
Tanner Bibee AL ROY: FGs Cy Younger AL Award Predictor has Bibee at #11. Is the AL ROY Award winner nearer than we predict? Bibee is Prime 10 in ERA amongst MLB Starters and #5 in MLB WPA (min 100 IP) behind Gallen, Grey, Snell and Cole.  What do you assume?
2:03
Ben Clemens: Nah, I believe Gunnar being on the Orioles and being a brighter prospect are each simply distinguishing elements
2:03
Ben Clemens: Who is aware of how the award works precisely however, I don’t see it, Henderson looks like simply too simple of a alternative
2:04
Herr’s 100 RBI Season: As we’ve seen up to now the Playing cards are far more followers of utilizing belongings + cash quite than simply cash to amass gamers of serious magnitude.  To that finish, I might assume it’s more likely they search out a excessive finish SP by way of that route quite than the FA market and I would favor Burnes, Glasnow, Gilbert, and so on over Snell or Nola anyway.  Ideas on the potential offseason SP targets out of your viewpoint?  As a Playing cards fan, it’s all I’ve to ponder proper now (sigh)
2:04
Ben Clemens: I imply, I don’t assume Playing cards followers are being rational concerning the probabilities of getting one of many Seattle guys
2:04
Ben Clemens: I went on an STL radio present and mentioned that Jordan Walker alone wouldn’t be sufficient to commerce for Gilbert
2:04
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume that’s a very controversial view
2:04
Ben Clemens: and folks had been RILED UP about how dumb I used to be
2:05
Ben Clemens: I agree with you that hte Playing cards prefer to commerce gamers for stars, however I don’t see Burnes transferring within the division, and I’m unsure the Playing cards are a super pair for Glasnow, so I sort of assume it received’t occur
2:05
Farhandrew Zaidman: Hey Ben! Are you able to look into your crystal ball and inform us what the Dodgers are going to do for his or her playoff rotation? Miller 1, Kersh 2, Pepiot/Lynn/Yarbrough piggy again or bullpen video games 3 and 4? Thanks!
2:05
Ben Clemens: I imply, this sounds fairly near it, yeah
2:05
Ben Clemens: I believe you’ll be able to rely on Sheehan getting some run in there too
2:06
bringbackpologrounds: Is Seager-Semien the very best infield duo you’ve watched (each offensively and defensively)? Correa-Altuve involves thoughts, however I’m undoubtedly forgetting a couple of from the previous few years.
2:06
Ben Clemens: I do like this query, let me attempt to think about some
2:07
Ben Clemens: I believe I’d give them the sting over Albies/Swanson in latest classic examples. If we’re speaking concerning the twenty first century, let’s say, hmmmm
2:07
Ben Clemens: yeah I can’t consider a greater instance, but when anybody within the chat comes up with one, shoot
2:07
Morlock Jimenez: So, Mookie ought to’ve been Tony-Phillipsing since day one, huh?
2:08
samcovington: Presently, who’s your AL choose. Appears fairly broad open.
2:08
bringbackpologrounds: Finest lively gamers with out a WS win/look? Quite a lot of the younger stars have received (particularly if Acuna’s ring in 2021 counts).
2:08
Ben Clemens: I believe it simply depends upon the way you phrase it
2:08
Ben Clemens: Isn’t it simply Mike Trout or Ohtani, although?
2:08
Ben Clemens: relying on the way you outline greatest
2:08
bosoxforlife: Seems bleak for the Astros however getting swept by the Royals at dwelling tends to try this.
2:08
Ben Clemens: Yeah, what a nasty time to have this occur
2:08
A Jolly Good Oberkfellow: Of the groups nonetheless with a shot on the World Sequence, which attainable opponents’ cities would you most prefer to get to eat in? A foodie championship.
2:09
Ben Clemens: Okay, I like this query fairly a bit. LA meals scene is nice, however I’ve been there an honest quantity, ,so I’m unsure if it’s a query for me or for the groups
2:10
Ben Clemens: I’d additionally put Seattle and Houston excessive on the checklist, I’m unsure which one will likely be neglected within the chilly however I like Vietcajun meals so I’d like Houston, and I’ve all the time had scrumptious meals in Seattle
2:10
Ben Clemens: Toronto is excessive on my checklist as effectively
2:10
KC Ache: Andrew Vaughn just about this w possibly a couple of upticks right here and there? I hold hoping for that breakout 12 months and…..nonetheless ready.
2:10
Ben Clemens: Yeah kinda looks like that is him
2:10
bosoxforlife: Wilyer Abreu appears like a discover. The Pink Sox now have 4 left handed hitting outfielders, Duran, Verdugo, Yoshida and Abreu. Verdugo will get nothing in return so what occurs subsequent?
2:11
Ben Clemens: I believe Yoshida finally ends up DH’ing extra, but additionally that accidents and underperformance will work issues out. Provided that Verdugo is gone after subsequent 12 months, it’s no nice tragedy if he will get pinched on PT slightly, as long as the opposite gamers are higher
2:11
Insert Witty Title Right here: I went down a rabbit gap and ended up being fascinated with world economics. I imagine you handled some bizarre trade price job again within the day.  Anyway, I’m at present studying “Capital within the twenty first Century” by Thomas Piketty.  Have you ever learn it and/or do you’ve got any financial books you’d suggest to a newbie?  Sorry if this isn’t in your wheelhouse, however I’m studying about trade charges and also you’re chatting as we speak so figured I’d ask.
2:11
Ben Clemens: That’s a heavy learn, and I’ve learn it however I’m unsure I’m adequate at econ
2:11
Ben Clemens: to really perceive it
2:12
Ben Clemens: I actually preferred the e book that launched me to economics, “New Concepts From Useless Economists”, no thought if it’s nonetheless in print
2:12
Ben Clemens: additionally, I loooooooved “Inventing Cash”, a e book about Lengthy Time period Capital Administration’s rise and fall. Failing that, I simply assume the LTCM saga was actually attention-grabbing, so “When Genius Failed” makes the checklist as effectively
2:13
Dan: What’s Tony-Philipsing (reference the mookie Betts query)?
2:13
Ben Clemens: taking part in IF/OF to be a real multi-positional beast is how I interpreted it
2:13
Sir Nerdlington: I’ve learn that the Japanese participant hierarchy might make it harder to signal a Japanese FA if in case you have a Japanese born participant already rostered. Is there actually something to that? Looks like having a participant within the clubhouse who speaks your native tongue could be an enormous constructive (except he’s a jerk).
2:13
Ben Clemens: By no means heard of such a factor, so I are likely to not imagine it
2:13
Tom: It will appear extra detrimental than I intend, however is Volpe simply Dan Uggla as a strong defensive SS? That might be a 4-5 win participant, even when it’s .230 with a ton of okay’s.
2:14
Ben Clemens: I believe he’s a greater athlete, which provides me hope he’ll fill out a couple of different expertise, however usually sure, that comp kinda works for me
2:14
Ben: Utley/Rollins must be thought of
2:14
Insert Witty Title Right here: Re: infield duo – Rollins and Utley
2:14
Ben Clemens: Yeah, strong name. I’d give the one-season edge to Semien/Seager however let’s see them stick with it for a number of years
2:14
Sir Nerdlington: Yamamoto & Bellinger +$100M or Ohtani. Which aspect have you ever received?
2:14
Ben Clemens: I’d take Ohtani however Yamamoto does certainly look superior
2:14
Ben Clemens: I’m simply kinda skeptical of Bellinger
2:15
Ben Clemens: I thought of this one however except I’m misremembering JRam was by no means actually a full-time 2b
2:15
KC Ache: Has any crew gone nuts in a rule 5 draft and brought, idk, 4-5 gamers in a crapshoot rebuild?  *eyes his Royals lack of roster expertise and farm*
2:15
Ben Clemens: Oh man, the Padres did
2:15
Ben Clemens: and it was ridiculous
2:15
Ben Clemens: they took random totally-not-ready guys and it burned a few of them badly
2:15
j: seager and trea turner
2:15
Dan: My favourite e book was the economics of the undead that taught compound curiosity, market idea, and issues like that however from the viewpoint of zombies and vampires. Its arduous to do effectively however when issues that individuals spend years researching are filtered into frequent language I find it irresistible. Any comparable suggestions?
2:16
Ben Clemens: Lol I hadn’t heard of this one however that sounds nice
2:16
Thomas: For folk searching for econ books, I’d extremely suggest Debt: The First 5000 Years by David Graeber. It’s extra a critique of economics from an anthropological perspective, however it’s actually fascinating and a number of meals for thought
2:16
Ben Clemens: Love some good e book recs
2:16
Frogs: I see you’re not answering my mob query because of your individual fears of the mob.
2:16
Ben Clemens: Lightning spherical
2:16
Ben Clemens: what query does this consult with
2:16
Ben Clemens: get your guesses in now
2:17
Farhandrew Zaidman: Mom of the Bride – everybody rational fears the Mom of the Bride
2:17
Tacoby Bellsbury: Mobb Deep
2:18
Ben Clemens: Alright, I didn’t see any guesses higher than Mobb Deep, however let’s reply the query
2:18
Frogs: Why is Dominic Leone on the Mariners roster proper now and the way a lot does it should do with Jerry Dipoto’s ties to the mob?
2:18
Thomas: It was about mop suggestions, however there was a typo
2:19
Ben Clemens: I really assume Canzone is at the least affordable
2:19
Ben Clemens: I really can’t clarify Leone persevering with to get work, it’s wonderful
2:19
Ben Clemens: give him an offseason to retool at the least
2:19
SF Giants: Arizona, LA, and SD all are constructing spectacular farm programs. Do you assume SF will be capable to take the nl west subsequent 12 months?
2:19
Ben Clemens: Sure, however I additionally assume they’re in a position to get Ohtani
2:20
Ben Clemens: failing to do the second goes to restrict their means to get the primary carried out
2:20
Ben Clemens: the Giants are persistently good about constructing a superb function participant backdrop
2:20
Ben Clemens: they want stars although
2:20
Tom: Robbie Alomar/Vizquel. Bret Boone/ARod. and my favourite underrated duo, Placido Polanco and Carlos Guillen
2:20
bringbackpologrounds: Andrus/Kinsler? TEX has had some good ones.
2:20
bringbackpologrounds: Bogaerts/Pedroia had 3 good seasons collectively.
2:20
Ben Clemens: We’ve received loads of choices, however none of those are actually leaping out as higher than Seager/Semien to me
2:21
Ben Clemens: Seager and Semien are actually good!
2:21
Jazzy: With the common DH and seemingly extra defensive versatility than up to now is it time to rethink Postional Adjustment and possibly even zero it out (might increase substitute degree to account for the distinction)?
2:21
Jazzy: One thing like DH (-12) 1B (-9) LF (-6) RF (-3) 2B (+2) 3B (+3) CF (+5) SS (+8) C (+12) is slightly flatter distribution and provides as much as zero as an illustration.
2:21
Ben Clemens: We’ve mentioned this internally a couple of instances. Actually I believe some sort of FG summit to nail this down would make sense however we all the time find yourself with extra urgent stuff
2:22
Ben Clemens: I’m hoping to do some work on the playoff odds mannequin this offseason, for instance
2:22
Ben Clemens: which truthfully feels each simpler and extra impactful to me than determining new positional changes
2:22
Sir Nerdlington: Immaculate grid led me down a bbref path that taught me there was a participant named Lil Stoner (Full title Ulysses S Grant Stoner). Fashionable baseball nicknames stink.
2:22
Ben Clemens: a traditional OOTP Good Staff participant
2:22
Ben Clemens: and sure, can’t agree extra, outdated baseball names rocked
2:22
Greg: Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 104 WRC+
2:22
Ben Clemens: Oh boy, let’s go
2:23
Visitor: Hey Ben, I’m making an attempt to be taught extra and conduct my very own sabermetrics evaluation and fantasy analysis to realize expertise and construct up my portfolio. Do you’ve got any suggestions/options for this sort of analysis?
2:23
Ben Clemens: Discover one thing you need to know or that appears bizarre to you
2:23
Ben Clemens: that’s how I received began
2:24
Ben Clemens: simply, one thing that attracts your curiosity and that you will be considering digging into
2:24
Idiotic Failson: Tejada and Brian Roberts
2:24
Ben Clemens: I imply…. no, however enjoyable
2:24
Farhandrew Zaidman: Why is 2B increased on the defensive spectrum than CF? Looks like CF ought to solely be beneath SS and C, no?
2:24
Ben Clemens: i’ll say, I believe this ended up the case once I tried to look into it
2:24
Ben Clemens: CF has an enormous unfold, although
2:24
Ben Clemens: like there are some CF’s which might be simply WAY above the bar
2:24
Ben Clemens: i feel the rando’s that individuals squeeze into CF at instances drag down the adjustment
2:25
Ben Clemens: however then in exchagne, the good defensive CF’s get an enormous enhance
2:25
KC Ache: Baez….what occurred?  Man hit .273+. for five years…then has been baffling unhealthy.  Certain his pitch choice sucks…however was it ever good?  It reminds of the drop off from Allen Craig. Went from .300+ AS to mendoza line and out of league in like 2 seasons.
2:25
Ben Clemens: i actually don’t know
2:25
Ben Clemens: it was simply wham, out of nowhere
2:26
Princess Leia: Assist us Obi-Wan Clemon-Obi! Baseball season is fading quick, and also you’re our solely hope! (Bonus factors for Star Wars commander Kerkering)
2:26
Ben Clemens: weekly star wars content material
2:26
Ben Clemens: additionally, I simply began taking part in Jedi Fallen Order
2:26
Ben Clemens: wow is it enjoyable
2:27
Ben Clemens: can’t imagine i’m 4 years late to the occasion on this one
2:27
Stat geek: Does altering balls from season to season hassle you as a lot because it bothers me? It makes it harder to match period’s
2:28
Ben Clemens: it does slightly
2:28
Ben Clemens: however Ben Lindbergh’s analysis, which I can’t discover proper off the highest of my head, means that the identical factor has been happening for some time
2:28
Ben Clemens: and might need been an enormous cause behind the ‘steroids period’ dwelling ru n enhance
2:28
Chip: Out of attainable playoff groups, what’s your required WS matchup?
2:28
Ben Clemens: O’s Brewers
2:29
Steve O: Sort of wonderful that the Yankees have had principally every thing go incorrect for them this 12 months and are a .500ish crew. Severino stunk, Montas out for the 12 months, Rodon harm/ineffective, Cortes harm/ineffective, Choose missed 50 video games, Rizzo performed via a concussion for 2 months and performed terribly, Stanton not hitting, Bader injured/horrible, Trevino out for the season, German alcohol rehab, Jasson Dominguez UCL tear, and so on. I’m certain I’m forgetting some issues however it’s been a massacre. I believe they’ll be aggressive this offseason but when they make minor upgrades I believe they’ve received a superb shot at 90 wins.
2:30
Ben Clemens: This appears fairly affordable to me
2:30
Ben Clemens: I do assume that usually folks catastrophize an excessive amount of about good-ish groups having unfortunate seasons
2:30
JR: I’ve all the time questioned why the positional changes aren’t estimated empirically, and it appears extremely simple to do. In the event you take the common or possibly median (non-positionally adjusted) RAA/162 of all third basemen within the league, doesn’t that provide you with actual common degree of play at that place? Perhaps smoothed over n-years like park results
2:30
Ben Clemens: I believe the true argument right here is whether or not you need to estimate it by together with offensive manufacturing
2:30
Ben Clemens: I don’t need to
2:31
Ben Clemens: my instance could be that if the very best 30 gamers in baseball performed shortstop
2:31
Ben Clemens: and the worst 30 performed left subject
2:31
Ben Clemens: it’d be bizarre to regulate based mostly on that
2:31
Ben Clemens: that’s why we regulate based mostly on fielding means quite than by positional manufacturing
2:31
J6: What sort of hitter would you ship as much as pinch hit towards prime Degrom?  A excessive energy strikeout sort or a low energy contact man?  Let’s assume they’re each at a 100 wRC+.
2:31
Ben Clemens: truthfully I’d in all probability ship up the contact man as a result of I simply assume the true strikeout price for a strikeout-prone hitter towards deGrom is comically excessive
2:31
Zaidi: If SF misses the playoffs in 23 & 24, do Kapler and Zaidi keep?
2:31
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume so
2:32
Ben Clemens: the rope must be getting slightly bit skinny given the previous two years
2:32
Ben Clemens: they only haven’t been in a position to construct the mixture of high finish and depth
2:32
Insert Witty Title Right here: Infield duo: Placido Polanco and whoever performed SS.  In all probability not proper however I simply needed to say Placido Polanco and his bizarre jawline.
2:32
Ben Clemens: haha I all the time consider him as a 3b
2:32
Ben Clemens: however I beloved Polanco and was very unhappy when the Cardinals traded him within the Rolen deal
2:32
Ben Clemens: i imply, till I received to see Rolen play, and so on.
2:32
Mob: I heard you was speaking about me lately. It is a very nice chat that you’ve right here. It could be an actual disgrace if something had been to occur to it.
2:33
Idiotic Failson: Talking of 2B and the Yankees, keep in mind when Brian Roberts performed for the Yankees? Yuck.
2:33
Ben Clemens: truthfully, i don’t
2:34
Steve O: Predict Yamamoto’s MLB contract and to what crew.
2:34
Ben Clemens: I believe he’ll get…. 5/120
2:35
Ben Clemens: however I haven’t carried out a lot contracts this 12 months tbh
2:35
Ben Clemens: that’s October work
2:35
bringbackpologrounds: An infield query I’ve considered for some time: If the league modified from 65% RH hitters to 65% LH hitters, how would the worth of 2B vs SS change?
2:35
Ben Clemens: let’s determine it out
2:36
Ben Clemens: so amongst righty hitters, 21.4% of batted balls find yourself pulled on the bottom
2:36
Ben Clemens: Lefty hitters, 5.2% of batted balls find yourself pulled on the gorund
2:36
Ben Clemens: so add that with the 65% RH, proper now you’ve got 15.7% of batted balls to the ‘shortstop’ bucket talking very broadly
2:37
Ben Clemens: if the ratio flipped, that may go to 10.9%
2:38
Ben Clemens: in the meantime, righties go oppo grounder 5.3% of the time, and lefties pull grounders 21.1% of their batted balls. So ‘2b’ bucket would go from 10.8% to fifteen.6%
2:38
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume they’d fairly flip worth, b/c shortstop remains to be tougher
2:38
Ben Clemens: however sure, roughly, you’d see an enormous shift in worth in direction of the man who has to make extra performs
2:38
You’re Peter Seidler: First, congrats in your sudden wealth.
Second, which of the next do you do that offseason?

a) Preserve AJ Preller & Bob Melvin (& anticipate regression to the imply)
b) Hearth BoMel
c) Hearth Preller
d) Hearth each.

2:39
Ben Clemens: in all probability c for me, however that’s as a result of I’m a really assured particular person and I’d need my very own crew who thinks about baseball in a broadly comparable approach to me within the job
2:39
JR: RE “if the worst 30 gamers performed left subject”: If a crew discovered a left fielder who was a plus hitter and defender, he could be far more beneficial in your hypothetical world than in ours, proper? As a result of his substitute could be a bottom-30 participant
2:39
Ben Clemens: proper, and that’s unhealthy
2:39
Ben Clemens: I don’t need that
2:39
Ben Clemens: Oh I see what you’re saying
2:39
Ben Clemens: Let’s say he’s a 120 wrC+ hitter
2:39
Ben Clemens: and the worst shorstop is a 135 wRC+ hitter
2:40
Ben Clemens: who’s worse?
2:40
Steve O: Have you ever seen Austin Wells catch? I’m no scout, however he appears positive again there. He can stab on the ball at instances, however I believe general he’s first rate again there. If the Yankees didn’t assume he might catch, he wouldn’t be catching in any respect proper now. Sort of like what they did with Jesus Montero (who by no means caught an MLB recreation with the Yankees).
2:40
Ben Clemens: I haven’t, to be trustworthy
2:40
Ben Clemens: I simply put this query up in case somebody within the chat has
2:40
AL Central Casting: Are the Twins a postseason sleeper? Excellent and deep beginning workers, bullpen that’s getting an inflow of expertise from surplus/recovering starters (Maeda, Paddack, Varland), and a lineup that has actually hit its stride within the second half (assuming returns from Lewis, Correa, and possibly Buxton).
2:41
Ben Clemens: Certain, I assume, I simply principally assume they’re accurately thought to be needing to get slightly fortunate in any collection
2:41
Ben Clemens: which suggests in combination I don’t love their odds
2:41
Steve O: I believe there’s no means Yamamoto will get lower than Masahiro Tanaka. (7/155 + 20M posting charge).
2:41
Ben Clemens: Yeah, I imply, that’s attainable, I’ve been kinda stunned by the sunshine offers for NPB stars lately
2:41
Ben Clemens: I believed Senga would have gotten greater than he did for instance
2:42
The Batman: I simply need to word that Bret Boone and ARod by no means really performed collectively, so that they don’t rely as a 2B/SS duo.
2:42
Ben Clemens: Helpful level
2:42
Ben Clemens: I had no thought
2:43
Farhandrew Zaidman: Yamamoto is the shinier prospect, however Imanaga is a lefty invisiballer who’s going to completely dominate with just like the Rays or Dodgers or Guards or an org like that.
2:43
Ben Clemens: Dan’s projections final 12 months had Imanaga as higher than Senga
2:43
Ben Clemens: Senga seems to be fairly good!
2:44
AL Central Casting: Doesn’t each crew (besides possibly Atlanta) must get slightly fortunate in each collection? I assume my query is extra alongside the traces of “Are the Twins a greater crew now than the chances are giving them, given how totally different they appear in comparison with earlier within the season?”
2:44
Ben Clemens: Oh…. I don’t actually assume so. I believe the chances are being fairly honest to them, in that I don’t see any apparent place we’re under- or over-rating them
2:45
Ben Clemens: they’ve little question been taking part in effectively, however the taking part in poorly earlier counts too, and so does the observe file of a number of these guys simply being fairly good with out being nice in previous years
2:45
Ben Clemens: there are a number of not-so-great at-bats to go round in that lineup
2:45
Ben Clemens: Wallner/Farmer/Jeffers/Larnach/Taylor as 5-9 stings slightly
2:45
Ben Clemens: and I dunno what their well being is gonna seem like
2:46
Insert Witty Title Right here: Purchased a few of the Econ books really helpful, thanks all. Comply with up Q, say I’m a substitute degree participant within the economic system, how might I turn out to be a 3 WAR citizen?
2:46
Ben Clemens: Fascinating, I assume I’m not uqite certain what you’re asking however I believe that discovering a superb excessive yield financial savings account and choosing the right bank card goes a good distance in direction of maximizing private funds for most individuals
2:46
Aaron: Joey nonetheless bangs! Joey nonetheless bangs… proper…? Really, what’s the level of baseball with out Joey Votto. It won’t be the identical.That recreation yesterday was the primary time I’ve ever been genuinely unhappy about probably shedding a participant…
2:46
Ben Clemens: It’s going to be unhappy
2:48
Ben Clemens: Somebody requested this, however I believe the palce he’s most certainly to go if he comes again is Toronto
2:48
Ben Clemens: that’d be very enjoyable
2:48
JR: RE RE: Let’s flip the hypothetical into the true world. Shall we say the worst DH is a 135 wRC+, and the very best Catcher is 120 wRC+. Who’s extra beneficial? And extra importantly, does this case differ out of your hypothetical the place each shortstop is healthier than each left fielder?
2:48
Ben Clemens: effectively, depends upon the protection
2:48
Ben Clemens: the distinction within the shortstop instance is that presumably that 135 wRC+ shortstop might play LF if he needed to
2:48
Ben Clemens: and usually gamers can transfer between positions with some loss perform
2:48
Ben Clemens: in the event that they couldn’t, then I’d get bucketing by positional manufacturing extra
2:49
KC Ache: Why dont groups relaxation their starters for every week or two if they’ve an enormous lead in standings when rosters develop? Skip a pair rotation spots and have them contemporary for playoffs with some AAA guys.
2:49
Ben Clemens: I believe it has to do with preserving them in rhythm
2:49
Ben Clemens: it’s a bizarre unknown to introduce
2:49
Ben Clemens: how good is x pitcher after two weeks off?
2:49
Ben Clemens: I do assume that groups ought to usually give their guys further relaxation days, don’t push them toooooo arduous, and so on
2:49
Ben Clemens: however skipping a number of turns looks like it could possibly be counterproductive
2:49
Expertise vs Velocity: Which rotation choices would you lean on in October, if you happen to had been the Dodgers? The vets with low/dipping velo like Kershaw, Lynn, and Yarbrough. Or the inexperienced flame throwers like Sheehan, Pepiot, Stone, and Grove? Or piggyback the children after the vets?
2:49
Ben Clemens: I’d go for the piggybacking mannequin I believe
2:49
Ben Clemens: that simply makes probably the most sense to me, I’m undoubtedly nervous concerning the vets providing you with six constant innings
2:50
Why not Zoidberg: My favourite old-timey baseball title is Pickles Dillhoefer.
2:50
Ben Clemens: that’s undoubtedly a superb one
2:51
TomBruno23: Going again to final Monday’s chat…our household had a blast at Wainwright’s #200 to say the least.
2:51
Ben Clemens: You like to listen to it
2:51
Dodgers: LA would’ve been higher off not signing  Peralta and Thor, ducking below the tax, and taking part in extra rookies. Heyward out hit Peralta vs righties, Thor wasn’t good, the children want extra expertise earlier than the playoffs and so they simply took the NL west. Ought to’ve spent rather less and so they may’ve been higher off for it
2:51
Ben Clemens: Ah sure, they need to haven’t signed the gamers who didn’t work out
2:51
Ben Clemens: I dunno how they missed that
2:52
Ben Clemens: In all seriousness, I believe that a number of the concept right here was to simply throw a number of noodles on the wall to see what caught
2:53
Ben Clemens: these two didn’t, I’m stunned Peralta remains to be round tbh
2:53
Ben Clemens: Sorry, simply misplaced web briefly
2:53
tortycraig: simply listened to the episode with Bernie you talked about – it’s humorous to assume you would get Gilbert for lower than a Walker or one thing comparable. lottttta stl commenters have that Burleson for Gilbert commerce penciled in already lol
2:54
Ben Clemens: Burleson for something could be very spectacular
2:54
Tacoby Bellsbury: Talking of Syndergaard, he’s an apparent non-roster invitee candidate subsequent 12 months. The place ought to he go?
2:54
Ben Clemens: I’d say the Dodgers besides, lol
2:54
Ben Clemens: so I assume the Rays?
2:54
Ben Clemens: gotta hold making an attempt to get that pixie mud sprinkled in your arm
2:54
Tom Waits: The Padres are the reply to a number of WTF baseball questions during the last 25 years.
2:54
TomBruno23: In a season the place the Cardinals set a franchise file for gamers (52) I’ll at some point be capable to inform my grandkids I noticed Ryan Tepera don the Birds on the Bat in particular person. Goosebumps.
2:54
KC Ache: There have been some good nicknames IMO, simply fallen into the lure of first title letter, final title 1zt 3. JRam, Arod, and so on. Just like the media w -gate for every thing.  Allen Craig was Wrench, Baez El Mago, Raleigh Huge Dumper. We might have had ACra, JBae, and CRal.
2:54
Ben Clemens: that’s true, El Mago is an all-timer imo
2:55
Ben Clemens: I additionally like Jose “Mal Tiempo” Abreu
2:55
tortycraig: I’ve mentioned it as soon as I’ll say it 1,000,000 instances, the Carlson/Rogers Miami commerce attracts close to
2:55
Ben Clemens: Yeah, this appears extraordinarily in vary
2:55
Steve O: Masataka Yoshida’s season actually cratered. Is he actually only a 4th OF/DH sort or is there extra there?
2:56
Ben Clemens: I believe there’s extra there, however in all probability like an excellent LH bat with marginal utility towards lefties kinda deal
2:56
Ben: I believed the LF v SS query was about how a lot a participant’s worth adjustments when in comparison with the common?  So if  LF represents the 30 worst gamers in baseball, then discovering a “good” one is extra beneficial then in actuality the place the very best gamers are extra unfold out.
2:56
Ben Clemens: I simply assume it depends upon what you need WAR to do
2:56
AL Central Casting: If wholesome, that 5-9 turns into Correa, Buxton, Kiriloff, Wallner (140 wRC+), and Jeffers (134 wRC+). Availability is an enormous caveat (particularly Buxton taking part in the OF), however that looks like an honest backside half of the order, no?
2:56
Ben Clemens: Okay c’mon get out of right here with Buxton taking part in the outfield haha
2:56
Ben Clemens: he hasn’t all 12 months!
2:56
Ben Clemens: He’s rehabbing at DH
2:56
Ben Clemens: it’s not taking place
2:58
Ben Clemens: Matt Wallner’s 237 PA are doing a number of work in making that sound nice. I’ll agree that getting Correa again would do lots, and Lewis although I’m kinda skeptical he’s returning
2:58
Ben Clemens: however like, we aren’t giving these guys a lot PT
2:58
Ben Clemens: and our odds are based mostly on our PT projections
2:59
Ben Clemens: so if the query is ‘will the twins be more healthy than our projections’, possibly?
2:59
Ben Clemens: If they’re, I assume our odds will change as these guys get again in
2:59
Ben Clemens: however we now have to assemble groups based mostly on their anticipated taking part in time after which simply the mannequin’s projection for these guys
2:59
J: Which pitcher has your favourite supply proper now?
3:00
Ben Clemens: oh man…. it’s a man whose title I’m fully blanking on now
3:00
Ben Clemens: mets/dodgers up and down reliever
3:01
Ben Clemens: simply watch his supply, it’s pleasant and unusual to me
3:01
Ben Clemens: it’s like somebody sawed off half of an actual supply
3:01
Ben Clemens: alright on that word, I gotta run, have an excellent week everybody. A number of superior baseball to observe
3:02
Ben Clemens: and likewise, if you happen to’re me, a bunch of outdated apple video games
3:02
Stats CEO: It certain could be a disgrace if one thing occurred to your treasured Apple TV odds article!
3:02
Ben Clemens: on that word


 

Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He could be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.

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